Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney
What does the collapse of sub-prime lending have in common with a broken jackscrew in an airliner's tailplane? These were systems that drifted into failure. Or the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico with the burn-up of Space Shuttle Columbia? We have trouble grasping t… Celý popis ↓
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Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney
What does the collapse of sub-prime lending have in common with a broken jackscrew in an airliner's tailplane? These were systems that drifted into failure. Or the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico with the burn-up of Space Shuttle Columbia?
We have trouble grasping the complexity and normality that gives rise to such large events. While pursuing success in a dynamic, complex environment with limited resources and multiple goal conflicts, a succession of small, everyday decisions eventually produced breakdowns on a massive scale. We hunt for broken parts, fixable properties, people we can hold accountable.
Our analyses of complex system breakdowns remain depressingly linear, depressingly componential - imprisoned in the space of ideas once defined by Newton and Descartes. The growth of complexity in society has outpaced our understanding of how complex systems work and fail. Our
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