Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney
Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney What does the collapse of sub-prime lending have in common with a broken jackscrew in an airliner's tailplane? These were systems that drifted into failure.…
Specifikacia Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney
Drift into Failure Dekker Professor Sidney
What does the collapse of sub-prime lending have in common with a broken jackscrew in an airliner's tailplane? These were systems that drifted into failure. Or the oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico with the burn-up of Space Shuttle Columbia?
We have trouble grasping the complexity and normality that gives rise to such large events. While pursuing success in a dynamic, complex environment with limited resources and multiple goal conflicts, a succession of small, everyday decisions eventually produced breakdowns on a massive scale. We hunt for broken parts, fixable properties, people we can hold accountable.
Our analyses of complex system breakdowns remain depressingly linear, depressingly componential - imprisoned in the space of ideas once defined by Newton and Descartes. The growth of complexity in society has outpaced our understanding of how complex systems work and fail. Our