Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting Bryant John

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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and forecasting. The methods apply to single demographic series, or to entire demographic systems. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical methodo… Celý popis ↓

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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting Bryant John

Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and forecasting. The methods apply to single demographic series, or to entire demographic systems. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical methodology to provide new tools for tackling challenges such as disaggregation, measurement error, missing data, and combining multiple data sources.

The authors have developed a set of R packages implementing the methods. The methods unify estimation and forecasting, and yield detailed measures of uncertainty.The book assumes minimal knowledge of statistics, and no previous knowledge of demography. Data and code for all applications in the book are available on www.bdef-book.com.This book will be welcome for the scientific community of forecasters...as it presents a new approach

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